Today we are laying the money on the Broncos -3 points. The Patriots are coming off a great game, but today they will face NFL toughest team. The Patriots are solid and well coached. But it takes a special team to beat Denver. Brady is coming into this game very nervous knowing he doesn’t have the players to take the win at home. They were home underdogs for just the third time since 2005 when they met Cincinnati four weeks ago. The Patriots hammered the Bengals, 43-17. So are we missing a lesson? After all, New England has covered 66 percent as an underdog under Belichick going 41-21 ATS. No, because of two big reasons. The Broncos and Peyton Manning are much better than the Bengals and Andy Dalton. The Patriots also had Stevan Ridley, Jerod Mayo and Chandler Jones when they steam rolled Cincinnati. Mayo was their leading tackler and Jones their beat pass rusher. The Broncos have their own impressive numbers: 21-5 since the start of last season winning 20 times by a touchdown or more and 26-12 ATS the past 38 times when favored. Manning has the top passer rating in the NFL at 119 with a 22-to-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Von Miller and DeMarcus Ware have combined for 16 sacks. Denver trumps the Pats on offense and defense.

According to my algorithms, I have the Broncos winning 34-21, 27-13, and 31-20. Lay the money on the Broncos, and get paid. My algorithms system has been money in predicting outcomes of games.

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